The Bone Yard

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bramaekers said...

Thanks for the breakdown... I would say that if we win out we should be around 11-13.

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dallasdanger said...

Maybe I shouldn't count the eggs before they hatch, but I think we would all agree that we should be huge favorites v. Minnesota and Iowa. Losing either of those games would be considerable upsets.

I know crazy things happen in football, but looking at the next two weeks, here are some potential upsets worth noting among the top 13......

WEEK 12

Wake Forest at Nore Dame(3) - I know it's VERY unlikely, and even tho I think they are legit, they have had to play some down to the wire games v. average teams.

Ole Miss at LSU(7) - Another very unlikely scenario considering LSU's success at home, but I think it's worth mentioning.

NC St. at Clemson(11) - Wolfpack aren't great, but they did topple Florida St. this year.

Oklahoma(12) at West Virginia - Boy have the Mountaineers played awful this past month. Nevertheless, they're still talented on offense and will have the advantage of a home night game.

Kansas St.(1) at Baylor - The Bears have only won 5 of their last 6, but I'm still putting it out there.

Stanford(13) at Oregon(2) - Will actually need an Oregon win to move up on the polls. I'm not counting out the Cardinals, but this should be our most likely shot at leap frogging someone.

Most likely scenario: We move up one thanks to Oregon. +1 Best case scenario: Oregon wins and we get a shocking upset from one of these teams. +2 Worst case scenario w/o a loss: Stanford wins and we're possibly a long shot victim of UCLA or USC jumping us in the polls. -1

WEEK 13

LSU(7) at Arkansas - The Razorbacks are pretty terrible this year, but they've played better ball this past month.

Oregon(2) at Oregon St.(16) - Will likely need an Oregon win here to suppress being jumped by Oregon St.

Stanford(13) at UCLA(17) - Depending on what happens this week, the game will likely be of no consideration to us in terms of polls. However, if one or both teams win this week, it could us help us move up a spot (prolly require a UCLA loss this week, a Stanford win this week, and a UCLA victory v. Stanford.)

Georgia Tech at Georgia(5) - Unlikely upset but I never count out an in-state rivalry game. Questionable if a G-Tech upset would see Georgia drop far enough us for us to jump the Bulldogs.

Florida(6) at Florida St.(10) - Both of these teams should win next week. Florida win would surely help us, Florida loss would be questionable.

Oklahoma St.(24) at Oklahoma(12) - Providing Oklahoma wins this week, the Cowboys could give the Sooners a run for their money and help us out.

Missouri at Texas A&M(8) - Missouri has been awful in conference play and no one wants Texas A&M right now. I'll still throw it in there.

South Carolina(9) at Clemson(11) - Regardless of the outcome, if Clemson wins this week, this should result in a jump for us.

Notre Dame(3) at USC(18) - Unless Notre Dame loses consecutive weeks, we're not going to jump them. Consecutive wins v. ranked opponents would likely see USC jump us, even with 3 losses.

Most likely scenario: The S-Carolina/Clemson and FSU/Florida games help us move up two spots. +2 Best case scenario: It's too long to write out, but if things go just right in the PAC, we could move up a spot or two. Paired with the top ranked teams squaring off, we would move up two spots. Maybe an upset helps us out. Crazy upset and we could be top 10. +5 Worst Case Scenario w/o a loss: USC or UCLA and Oregon St. jump us without allowing us to move past Oregon or Notre Dame. No upsets. -2

Where will we be ranked?

Most likely scenario: 11th Best Case Scenario: 8th unless some really crazy stuff happens Worst Case scenario w/o a loss: 16th